Introduction
I get a lot of bike-related articles in my e-mail, mostly via
my bike club. When I get an article from
two separate feeds, I know it’s something big.
So it was with a recent front-page story in Velo magazine, “Cycling to Extremes.” (I read the online version, available here.) The subtitle: “Are endurance athletes hurting their hearts
by repeatedly pushing beyond what is normal?”
What is normal? Alas,
for American adults “normal” is almost nothing; a CDC survey found that nearly
80% of adult Americans get less than 2.5 hours of exercise a week.
But forget about averages and those who don’t exercise. The point of this Velo article is that ageing endurance athletes—i.e., guys like
me—seem now to be in danger. The article
declares, “In the case of endurance athletes who have competed for years —
whose hearts have exceeded the threshold of normal heart rates for decades —
going above what is normal defines them. But it may also be killing them.”
In this post I examine the reactions of my pals to this disheartening
article; indulge in some knee-jerk denial; examine some other anecdotal
evidence; evaluate the article’s claims on the basis of the literature cited;
and (perhaps most importantly) provide a scheme for greatly advancing the study
of exercise-induced heart complications among the middle-aged.
Reactions
My first reaction to seeing this article was, “Oh,
crap. I hope nobody forwards this to my
wife.” (She’s the designated worrier of
the family, which leaves me free to pooh-pooh everything.) But then, I’ve got people depending on me, so
I thought I better take the article seriously.
First I looked at how my pals were reacting. “Hummmm....this is a little scary,” one
e-mailed. Another replied, “Yeah very
scary. I routinely get dizzy when I get
up - something that’s happened my whole life but” and here his e-mail ended
abruptly. (Had he collapsed mid-sentence?) One guy mentioned an athletic 50-year-old pal
who suffers from a heart issue like what’s described in the article. Other responses: “I have to admit, this article gave me pause,
especially the way I like to ride bikes ... hung over, and hammering as hard as
possible,” and “Alas, all along I thought I was doing something good for myself.”
Of course it’s tempting to deny the whole thing. The article has some serious flaws—which I’ll
get to in a minute—and I almost shrugged and thought, “Typical FUD, designed to
sell magazines.” But I resisted the urge. After all, just because an article is flawed
doesn’t mean its central assertion is false.
Besides, I respect the cautious position my pals have taken, and this
isn’t the first time I’ve pondered the mystery of brilliant athletes suddenly
dropping dead. The article mentions two
marathoners who died while running, and I also recall Matt Wilson, a local
rider who died while cycling in 2011, and Steve Larsen, a guy I raced with as a
junior, who died while running in 2009.
Never mind that my own heart has behaved perfectly my whole
life (at least, as far as I know). It’s
possible I’m doing damage now that will only become a problem in ten years. After all, I know guys who have smoked for
years but don’t have lung cancer. Yet.
I mulled over this article for about a week and a half, and
just when it was starting to drift toward unconscious dismissal, I mentioned it
to a cycling friend (my age) who said, “Oh, yeah, someone told me about that
but said maybe I shouldn’t read it ‘cause it might bum me out.” Why would it?
Turns out this guy has had a heart problem for some time now: he’ll be riding along, just cruising, and
suddenly his heart rate will go from like 140 up to over 200 and stay there for
30, 40 seconds. Uh oh.
The “lumping” problem
My chief difficulty in deciding how much to worry, and
whether or not to change my approach to cycling, is that of “lumping.” Is it right to lump myself in with the guys
cited in the article, and with the marathoners, and with Steve Larsen? Is it right to lump runners in with
cyclists? And is it right to lump various
heart problems together and treat them like one phenomenon?
Let’s take that last question first. The Velo
article uses two case studies to make its case: Lennard Zinn, who while bicycling suffered symptoms
of “his heart [flopping] like a fish” and beating way too fast; and Mike
Endicott, who collapsed and lost consciousness during a cross-country ski race. Was Endicott’s heart also racing? Well, not at first. Endicott’s words: “Something was beating inside my chest.” The Velo
writer describes it as “his heart still doing something strange inside his
chest” which led, after an hour or so, to ventricular tachycardia and “an
immediate, unexpected loss of heart function.”
This seems a lot different from what Zinn experienced. Were these two suffering from the same
specific heart problem? It’s not clear.
The article states that Zinn was diagnosed with multifocal
atrial tachycardia, but Endicott’s exact diagnosis isn’t given. The article talks a lot about atrial
fibrillation (AF): is this the same as tachycardia? Again, it’s unclear (though this FAQ suggests not). Moreover, the main
study the article cites concerns “myocardial fibrosis, a condition that
involves the impairment of the heart’s muscle cells, called myocytes, through
hardening or scarring of tissue.” Does myocardial
fibrosis lead to tachycardia and/or fibrillation? Do Zinn and Endicott suffer from myocardial
fibrosis? Once again, the article doesn’t
say.
It’s not just this article that’s vague about this
stuff. I did a tiny bit of research on
Steve Larsen’s death, and turned up something surprising:
Google’s big-font summary makes it pretty clear this was a
heart attack—but it wasn’t, according to the first article cited. Nothing else has been written to further
clarify this matter; the autopsy itself apparently ruled out heart attack. And yet people seem to remember it as such. Two years after Larsen’s death, when I was
corresponding with a friend about Matt Wilson, my friend wrote, “Steve Larsen
was the guy who had a [fatal] heart attack two years ago here in Bend.” Meanwhile, I’d always remembered Wilson’s
death as having been from a heart attack, but in researching this now (for
example, here), I can find no specific cause of
death.
A dearth of data
Let’s get back to that Velo
article. My temptation, when
presented with such ambiguity, is to read the research articles on which the
article is based. But the article, while
making lots of vague references to unnamed studies, doesn’t provide much. For example:
“Over decades of exertion, the myocardial cells of the heart begin to
simply fall apart, and you’re left with an unhealthy ticker. Or so these new
studies suggest.” And: “Long-term endurance exercise results in a
five-fold increase in the risk of developing AF. A review of the relevant research finds many
small studies that correlate long-term sports activity with AF.... While none is conclusive, collectively they
indicate a pattern.” What studies? What relevant research? There are no citations given here; no footnotes;
no hyperlinks.
The article does cite two specific studies. One involved rats, and I’m going to dismiss
that. (My heart is bigger than a rat’s; rats
don’t live 40 or 50 or 60 years, which is the age group I’m trying to learn
about; humans cannot be made to exercise as hard as rats.) Velo also
cites a study published in The Journal of
Applied Physiology: “MRI studies
revealed that some 50 percent of the veteran [>50-year-old] athletes had
myocardial fibrosis.... In age-matched
controls — people of the same age who didn’t compete — and young athletes,
there were zero cases of the disease. Furthermore, the fibrosis was
significantly associated with the number of years spent training, and the
number of marathons and ultra-endurance marathons they had completed.”
Okay, now we’re getting somewhere! I looked at the study itself to get more
information. You can read it here. My big issue with this study is that
it only included 12 veteran athletes. Of
these, 2 had previous heart conditions (1 probable previous mycarditis, 1
probable previous silent myocardial infarction). The Journal
study is candid about its limited scope, acknowledging that “Like many
studies of this type, the numbers of veteran athletes are small (largely
because this is a small and unique population), and generalization is
difficult.”
And yet, without the ability to generalize, what are we
supposed to do with this (largely anecdotal) information? My frustration is that I feel I ought to
evaluate and possibly modify my own behavior based on these cautionary tales,
but I have no solid basis for assuming that my behavior matches the profile of
the overworked athlete who may be damaging his heart.
Velo addresses this
problem of definition by quoting Dr. John Mandrola, a heart rhythm doctor: “What’s too much? That’s the $64,000
question. Though I will say it’s a little like what the judge said about
indecency: ‘I know it when I see it.’”
Well, this just doesn’t do me much good, because I’m not about to go to
Kentucky to visit this doctor, in the absence of any symptom of any problem.
I see four possible ways to respond to this
information.
- I could completely ignore it—but I think that’s irresponsible.
- I could simply err on the side of caution, and ride less often and less hard than I currently do—but isn’t this completely arbitrary, since somebody who rides twice as much as I could similarly tone it down “a bit” and still be riding way more than I?
- I could continue riding exactly how I currently do, while adding myocardial fibrosis to the pile of things I regularly worry about (which will increase my cortisol levels to the detriment of my health) while feeling guilty for being such a poor custodian of my body. No thanks.
- I can try to get more information about this, with a whole lot more data, so I can more reasonably evaluate and (if necessary) modify my behavior.
The solution
We need more information!
We need more than two anecdotes and a lot of vague references to “these
new studies” and “the relevant research.”
We need more than studies on rats, and we need studies of more than 10
veteran athletes. By “we” I mean
“society,” and actually society is already really, really good at harnessing
massive amounts of data and crunching them to derive useful judgments. Think of how effectively Amazon predicts what
we’ll want, and how well the advertising industry can anticipate, and create,
our desires. What if we could find a ready
source of “big data” for studying the effect of gonzo endurance athleticism on
heart health?
But we have it already!
It’s called Strava! This social
network has 8 million registered users, of which 1.2 million are active and
something like 190,000 have premium accounts.
(These are estimations since the company doesn’t reveal these numbers;
click here for details. Suffice to say, this is a lot deeper pool of data
than 10 test subjects.)
The number of Strava users isn’t even the
best part. It’s the quality of the data
set. Consider the type of athlete who
goes so hard, and so long, and so often, that he or she is actually at risk of
causing heart damage. How many of this
type wouldn’t be on Strava? The gung-ho Strava cyclist is exactly the
kind of person who might overdo his or her training. In other words, Strava members comprise the
perfect group for studying this stuff.
I’m envisioning a splash screen that pops up when the Strava
user logs in. It asks, “Are you willing
to participate in an anonymous study about heart function and rigorous aerobic
exercise?” I’d guess most users wouldn’t
have a problem with this. And anybody
who’s having heart trouble would probably be eager to participate, to better understand
it all, and could indicate the nature and frequency of his or her problem. Such a study could quite feasibly have
millions of workouts per day to crunch (the average workouts logged per day
being around 6 million last year, as detailed here). You’ve got your control group and
your heart-oddity group both covered, right off the bat.
And what great data there’d be to crunch! You get exercise frequency; exercise
duration; heart rate; and history (e.g., how much a rider’s performance is improving
or deteriorating). You could start to
develop very precise profiles of those whose hearts are misbehaving. Is there an age threshold beyond which these
symptoms most commonly present? Are
there frequency, duration, and/or intensity thresholds below which no errant
heart behaviors are observed? What is
the rate of heart trouble for riders exactly my age, who ride (on average) just
as often, and in exactly the same heart rate zones I work out in? Of those who work out like I do but who are
10 years older, how many have developed heart trouble? Five years from now, when we see an even more
comprehensive integration of “big data” into our lives, we’d probably have even
more ways to correlate the data. (We
might know, for example, whether frequent purchases at Starbucks or BevMo
factor in to the cardio health equation.)
Conclusion
For now, I’m going to assume that the hectic pace of my
life, my many familial obligations, my relative sloth, and my unaggressive
riding style will keep my heart in good shape.
I’m not going to bother shopping my Strava idea around, because I’m
confident that the Strava folks
themselves, looking for a way to actually make some money, are bound to get the
attention of the insurance people, who I assume are always looking for ways to
avoid open-ended batteries of complicated tests. I envision all of this happening without any
effort from me, probably years before I start getting into the dangerous years
where my heart starts “doing something strange inside [my] chest.” And if you want to forward this link around
to speed up the process, please be my guest!
Rider dies at Leadville Trail 100 MTB race:
ReplyDeletehttp://velonews.competitor.com/2015/08/news/rider-dies-at-leadville-trail-100-mtb-race_381559
I'm sorry to hear about that. Tragedies like this will continue to happen, just as people will continue to die, every day, in car crashes. The question is, are we comfortable--each of us--with the level of risk involved in the activities we do? Most of us do drive cars ... is that more or less risky than exercising really hard?
DeleteThe Strava idea is good, in terms of a large body of riders in the target range. But I don't think the most important thing would be captured, that being what kind of heart rhythm issue they might be experiencing. The data from a standard HR monitor is not going to show that. But it could be a great way to overlay exercise intensity/duration/frequency etc. with separately obtained health data - I'm thinking of e.g. annual echocardiogram data, EKG data, etc...
ReplyDeleteYes, the heart rate data in Strava is only a starting point. I think that, when trying to evaluate the cardiac risk of hardcore cycling, it'd be helpful to get some basic data on frequency of heart issues among ageing athletes, to bridge the gap between the anecdotal and the statistical....
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